Tag Archives: Mutual Funds Distributor

Carnage in Mid & SmallCap Stocks pulls down MF Returns

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Greetings from PenguWIN:

                                        Over the past few weeks, I received questions from half a dozen investors on the performance of the Equity funds and wanted to know whether their portfolio needs to be rejigged. My answer is “please hold” as it’s a phenomenon across different categories of funds, pronounced in Small and MidCap funds. The Sensex and Nifty are at all-time high with returns of 2.57% and 4.87% over the past 6 months while the mid and small caps have been battered with negative returns of (11.42%) and (16.46%). Over 50% of Mid and Small Cap stocks listed in NSE have lost more than 25% of their value.

            I am outlining some of the key reasons that has resulted in this poor performance.

  • Huge valuation of Mid and Small Cap stocks. Typically, in the past Mid and Small Cap stocks have traded at a discount to LargeCap. However, in the recent run till 2017 end, Mid and Small Cap stocks were trading at more than 200% of Price to Earnings of LargeCap (Nifty and Sensex)

 

  • SEBIs mandate on Categorization and Rationalization of MF Schemes in Oct 2017. Mutual Funds did not have clear definition of boundaries of Large, Mid and Small Caps and each fund house had its own definition. There were also multiple schemes of the same category, like 3 LargeCap funds in the same fund house. As a result of the SEBI mandate, fund houses have to merge/modify existing funds and also clean up the stocks that a scheme owns. Many funds, even Large Cap had sizeable allocation to Mid and SmallCap stocks forcing them to sell to adhere to SEBIs definition. When all fund houses tried to reduce their Mid and Small Cap stocks at the same time, there were not enough buyers resulting in steep valuation drop. Thus, MFs pressure to sell Mid and SmallCap stocks was a key driver

 

  • Surveillance Measures. Mid and SmallCap stocks are happy playgrounds for speculators and valuations go sky high without any change to the company fundamentals. SEBI in coordination with the BSE and NSE stock exchanges had been subjecting speculative stocks to surveillance measures since 2017. This covers both the changes not attributed to the fundamentals of stocks and also high volatility. Some of the highly traded stocks came under the scanner resulting in steep falls in price.

 

  • Governance Risks. Governance issues have surfaced among Mid and SmallCap companies where Auditors like Deloitte and PwC quit just before the results announcement citing inadequate disclosure. Auditors of over 30 listed companies have quit in 2018, till date, wherever they doubted the veracity of numbers. Both individual as well as institutional investors were caught unaware resulting in a selling spree bringing down the valuations to more than 50% in many stocks

 

Conclusion: While the Mid and Small Cap stocks correction might continue further, investors with higher risk appetite, investing systematically, will be rewarded handsomely. Just make sure that your asset allocation commensurate with your Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance.

I believe the returns on investment in the poor are just as exciting as successes achieved in the business arena, and they are even more meaningful! - Bill Gates

<Blog # PenguWIN 1061 – Carnage in Mid & SmallCap Stocks pulls down MF Returns>

Mystery of Missing Returns

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Warm Greetings from PenguWIN:

            I wanted to share this message with you before you might observe and become anxious. A couple of our investors have noticed it and requested for clarification. It has no effect on the value of the fund but portrays the performance in poor light. The details might be slightly technical (no impact to you) which is the reason why I was holding this message but thought that this note be shared when investors started asking for the clarification.   

The Categorization and Rationalization of Mutual Fund Schemes was initiated by SEBI, last year, to ensure that the schemes are clearly distinct in terms of investment strategy, asset allocation, uniformity in characteristics of similar type of schemes to help investors take informed decisions.

SEBI had discussed this with the MFAC (Mutual Fund Advisory Committee) and as a result of deliberations, the committee proposed the following changes in Oct 2017 to be implemented by the fund houses by June 2018.

  • Group Mutual Fund Schemes, into 5 groups including Equity (investing in stock), Debt (investing in overnight securities with 1-day maturity, money market, debt for varying durations), Hybrid (mix of stocks and debt instruments – typical balanced funds), Solution Oriented (Retirement, Children) and others (Index Funds, Exchange Traded Funds, Fund of Funds, International Funds
  • Rationalization of the Market Cap (product of no. of shares and prevailing price) definition by ranking them in descending order:   
    • Top 100 companies in terms of market cap to be referred as Large Cap
    • Companies with market cap from 101 to 250 market cap to be referred as Mid Cap
    • Companies from 251 and above in terms of market cap to be referred as Small Cap

 

This exercise resulted in Mutual Funds to adopt a uniform definition of Market Cap which was different for each fund house earlier as there were no standard definitions, like a small cap company as per Fund house A referred as mid cap company by Fund house B. The exercise also limited fund houses to have only 1 scheme per category, specifically in Equity, Debt and Hybrid resulting in merger of funds, changes to attributes and nomenclature of funds. In the past several fund houses had more than 1 Large Cap, Mid Cap, Balanced Fund and so on.  

As part of the merger of 2 funds into a new category, the assets from each fund had to be transferred into a new pool and either 1 of the exiting fund managers or a new fund manager had to be designated as the fund manager for the merged entity.

For better understanding, I am taking the case of HDFC Balanced fund which is one of the top performers in the erstwhile balanced category and a significant number of our investors own this fund. HDFC MF also had HDFC Prudence, which is also a well-known name, managed by Prashant Jain, though the risk profile is higher. In this instance, HDFC Balanced fund and Premier Multi-Cap fund were merged to form HDFC Hybrid Equity fund.  As part of the merger, the value of holdings in HDFC Balanced and the invested amount has been presented in a way that all gains accrued by the fund is lost (refer to the attached picture that displays the actual transactions for an investor). The amount obtained by moving out of the old fund is portrayed as the cost of new fund (Hybrid Equity). As a result, the investment amount in the portfolio is bumped up to that extent resulting in poor returns.

In this case the actual investment made by investor was Rs. 3,61,854 (accumulated 3230 units @ 112 Rs.) and the amount received during exit from old fund was Rs. 4,75,010 which is a gain of Rs. 1,13,156/-. However, the current transaction shows a loss of Rs. 9,575/-

The only sure thing about luck is that it will change - Bret Harte 

<Blog # PenguWIN 1059 – Mystery of Missing Returns ! >    

Wishes for a Happy Diwali 2017

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Dear Friends,

                            Advance Diwali wishes from team PenguWIN !

Right from my childhood days, Deepavali day has been my favourite day of the year (birthday comes latter) as I used to be deeply obsessed with Crackers. I have even had ideas to open a fireworks shop during Diwali eve, not with money-making motive, but get a chance to visit Sivakasi and buy fireworks at cheap prices so that I get a huge quantity to burst. But till date, it remains an unfulfilled wish.

I am aware that Fireworks cause health hazards, but was unaware of its intensity – Apparently, burning snake tablets is equal (how many boxes is something that was not published and obviously it’s not just 1 tablet or a box containing a dozen tablets) to 475 cigarettes (courtesy NDTV). Fireworks have been banned in many places in NCR (in and around Delhi) and I guess it’s only a matter of time that it ceases to exist for retail consumption.

I would like to brief about a category of equity funds called Equity Savings Fund, which as a concept I am really impressed. The fund category has only a 2-year history and long-term performance is yet to be tested. All major fund houses have launched this fund, starting 3rd quarter of FY 15-16. After the 2014 budget when the Finance Minister changed the taxation of debt funds, all debt funds need to be held for 3 years for indexation benefit and subsequently taxed at 20%. Manufacturers in mutual fund industry (who create new schemes) are extremely savvy and came up with the concept of Equity Savings Fund.

For a fund to be categorized as Equity Fund, it has to have a minimum of 65% exposure to Equity (Stocks) and the balanced fund category is based on this principle, though SEBI continues to say that Balanced Fund should be 50%:50%, Equity and Debt. Meanwhile a separate category of funds called Arbitrage Funds came into existence, where the fund manager tries to identify opportunities of mispricing between cash and futures markets. Without getting too technical, Arbitrage Funds belongs to equity category but potential returns are like debt category (about 5 to 6% ROI now). There is no issue of losses in these funds as purchase and sale of securities are done at the same time.

Using the advantage of Equity for high returns, Debt for stable returns and Arbitrage for Equity tax treatment and stable returns, Equity Savings Fund was conceptualized. They take 1/3rd exposure to Equity, Debt and Arbitrage, with specific schemes taking a little higher or lower proportion of securities. They maintain a minimum of 65% exposure to Equity and Arbitrage so that the fund enjoys equity taxation. From a risk perspective, it’s a lot lower than Balanced Funds giving a comfort feel to investors.

This category of fund, caps both the upside and downside quite well through its composition and has potential to generate 10% to 12% (net of tax) over a 3-year time frame. If this fund category proves its mettle, they will become a great hit among investors who don’t have the appetite for high exposure to Equity and Tolerate Volatility. Balanced Funds have attracted huge inflows in the recent run, higher than any other equity fund category – good returns with reduced risk. Equity Savings Fund could well be the next category to bet on.  

< PenguWIN TITBIT # 103 – Equity Savings Fund>